Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2.117338 2.419240 2.739534 3.103660 3.505123 3.933227 4.423231
2025-01-26 1.605706 2.033036 2.522503 3.119848 3.824150 4.623080 5.592534
2025-02-02 1.267814 1.763001 2.370406 3.158453 4.141102 5.312930 6.801749
2025-02-09 1.006947 1.528997 2.210997 3.145408 4.368429 5.889749 7.897282
2025-02-16 0.800336 1.322624 2.046754 3.089767 4.515378 6.355318 8.863532
2025-02-23 0.668881 1.194338 1.962831 3.119236 4.759475 6.942911 10.000297
2025-03-02 0.547853 1.057832 1.844316 3.079045 4.893060 7.378523 10.945781
2025-03-09 0.468769 0.972429 1.787204 3.115024 5.126019 7.949897 12.087817
2025-03-16 0.394301 0.880446 1.705777 3.101377 5.278361 8.408100 13.085189
2025-03-23 0.357171 0.848210 1.715653 3.226861 5.640197 9.174462 14.537422
2025-03-30 0.320714 0.810348 1.710108 3.323873 5.959887 9.888796 15.937253
2025-04-06 0.270405 0.735056 1.628903 3.286087 6.062636 10.282745 16.883626
2025-04-13 0.237897 0.692440 1.604433 3.346612 6.332264 10.948989 18.271153
2025-04-20 0.207118 0.647590 1.570511 3.387747 6.573060 11.583024 19.637725
2025-04-27 0.181520 0.609283 1.544243 3.439307 6.832577 12.255231 21.084283
2025-05-04 0.154094 0.559735 1.488256 3.429761 6.985589 12.763731 22.296245
2025-05-11 0.127196 0.504174 1.411357 3.372018 7.048915 13.128194 23.294320
2025-05-18 0.110593 0.472910 1.382779 3.404396 7.270392 13.753509 24.714892
2025-05-25 0.091881 0.429521 1.320071 3.361653 7.351951 14.149269 25.781766
2025-06-01 0.080328 0.405348 1.298712 3.400367 7.581875 14.795855 27.262065
2025-06-08 0.067841 0.373692 1.254250 3.385799 7.710098 15.273703 28.481787
2025-06-15 0.063224 0.369436 1.278469 3.520307 8.125821 16.252614 30.539368
2025-06-22 0.057782 0.360292 1.288649 3.624237 8.486762 17.147320 32.479871